David Rothschild

David Rothschild is an economist at Microsoft Research in New York City. He has a Ph.D. in applied economics from the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. His primary body of work is on forecasting, and understanding public interest and sentiment. Related work examines how the public absorbs information. He has written extensively, in both the academic and popular press, on polling, prediction markets, social media, and online data, and predictions of upcoming events; most of his popular work has focused on predicting elections and an economist take on public policy. After joining Microsoft in 2012, from Yahoo!, he has been building prediction and sentiment models, and organizing novel/experimental polling and prediction games; this work has appeared on both Bing and Xbox. And, he correctly predicted 50 of 51 Electoral College outcomes in February of 2012.